Salmonsy
Veteran
It's speculating based on what we know so far, but not mere guessing without any kind of information whatsoever. There's a difference there and I think I made some good points and backed them up with statements made by the devs themselves. Sure, there's always room to interpret a statement one way or the other, but there have been games in the past that had a somewhat similar history. Now I'm not saying that Bannerlord will most certainly be the next DNF, I'm just saying that there are some parallels.MrMundy said:We don't even know how development went for the last years for Bannerlord. As far as we know it could either be going perfectly or it could have stalled years ago. This is pointless guessing.
It's always a good idea to check what someone says against the reality, a practice commonly called a reality check. If we do a reality check on both of your statements you've hastily thrown in to cement your point, i.e. that we don't know anything and the development cycle might either be perfectly going according to plan or the development halted years ago, they'll crumble pretty fast.
If the development of the game would proceed as planned, some sort of playable version should've been already released. Also, the premature announcement 5 years ago speaks against that as well. The concept phase should also be already left behind, yet in parts it is obviously still there, being that the devs are not sure if earlier announced features are actually going to make it - character aging was confirmed in blog 12 only to be later downgraded to a 'maybe'.
If the development halted years ago, they wouldn't have been able to present gameplay on the PC Gamer Weekender in March and the E3 in June 2016. And they sure as hell wouldn't have hinted at some sort of release at the end of 2016.
Again, if you can be bothered to snoop around for tidbits and snippets regarding the development of Bannerlord - the glassdoor reviews being the most important thing here - it is easy to see why the development takes so long, especially if you have a similar development cycle to compare it to. So yes, it's still speculating, no you don't have to believe me, you are free to make your own conclusion but it's not like we know absolutely nothing and pointless guessing is all that is possible.