Reading a book on war theory from 2014*, and the final paragraph on the (recent) war in Afghanistan reads (my translation):
I know many people predicted it, but it's fun to see an analysis step by step poignantly predict it, early on
* The War - An Uncontrollable System by Gorm Harste, Univers, 2014
** https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/International_Security_Assistance_Force
"The result will likely be that when ISAF* withdraws, Afghanistan will fall apart."
I know many people predicted it, but it's fun to see an analysis step by step poignantly predict it, early on
* The War - An Uncontrollable System by Gorm Harste, Univers, 2014
** https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/International_Security_Assistance_Force