Yes, it is a wish or a projection what I wish Republicans would become. I thought that was clear. Maybe they will choose something else and become a party of half-baked doofuses like Trump or Boebert or a party of mummified legacy attitudes and opinions. The eternal Mitch McConnells, never really fading into obscurity, but also never really gaining proper power again.
I was also talking about more long term changes in attitudes, of course things won't change just because Republicans would win one particular election.
The realignment would be tectonic in its effects. The effects of any change in voting or ideological sentiments is magnified by a thousand by the winner-takes-all system. The conventional political wisdom that say the Northeast is liberal and the South is conservative makes it look like everybody in that region is like that. But to be a deep blue/red state or a region means that the part in power habitually wins with about 60/40 ratio. It is very rare for any party to win with a bigger lead than that. Maybe in Wyoming every now and then or something like that. There is a ****TON of conservatives even in New York City, let alone the rest of the New York State. The current Democrat governor was just elected 53/47. The previous won his two elections 60/40 and 55/45. Similarly there is and always has been droves of liberal and progressives in the South. But it kind of doesn't matter, especially in Senate and Presidential elections. But it also means that even a seemingly small shift in the electorate, say 5% points can turn a solid x state into a purple one and a purple one into a solid y.
Republicans don't need to become THE party of the non-Whites, just a little bit more. Latinos and Asians already vote 40% Republican. Republicans can easily bump it up to 45, maybe 50 with Asians with just cosmetic changes. Blacks who vote only 10-15% Republicans will be a tougher nut to crack.
*Out of control tuition is another thing Republicans need to wake the **** up on and abandon the current pseudo-market position. They are losing young voters in millions in order to gain who? The school administrators who eat all those money are all terminally liberal anyway.
Ultimately, reality is what you make it. Yeah there might be some global connections and consequences and webs etc. So what, everything has an end, nothing is forever. All of Europe was once controlled by an interconnected, intermarrying and entrenched aristocracy. Until it wasn't. Dare to dream, onwards and upwards. Passiveness, resignation and "this is how it's always been" fatalism is sooo Old World, this is America, **** yeah
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Btw CNN exit polls here
Some question that defy conventional wisdom or the more or less 50/50 split or confirm what I wrote above or are just fun:
Only 10% of people support illegal abortion in all cases. 60% support legal abortion in all or most cases.
While Whites with college are more or less split (50/47) and Whites without college strongly favor Republicans (68/32), non-Whites favor Democrats 68/32 regardless of college education.
Democrats are most popular among childless women, Republicans among childless men.
36% of all voters hold a favorable view of Nancy Pelosi. Only 27% of all voters hold a favorable view of Kevin McCarthy, however 20% have no opinion of him, as opposed to 4% of voters with no opinion on Nancy.
25% of all voters are enthusiastic or satisfied with they way things are going. 41% are dissatisfied and 33% are angry.
30% of all voters want Biden to run 2024.
71% of all voters think climate change is a serious problem.
26% of all voters think society's values on gender and orientation is changing for the better. 50% changing for worse. 21% see no change.
32% of voters decided on who to vote in the last 30 days or fewer.
The most important issue was inflation (31% of voters, 71% of whom voted Republicans), followed abortion (27% of voters, 76% of whom voted Democrats, i.e. pro choice), followed by crime, guns and immigration (each about 10%). Once again shows that overturning Roe basically cost Republicans their red wave.
I was also talking about more long term changes in attitudes, of course things won't change just because Republicans would win one particular election.
The realignment would be tectonic in its effects. The effects of any change in voting or ideological sentiments is magnified by a thousand by the winner-takes-all system. The conventional political wisdom that say the Northeast is liberal and the South is conservative makes it look like everybody in that region is like that. But to be a deep blue/red state or a region means that the part in power habitually wins with about 60/40 ratio. It is very rare for any party to win with a bigger lead than that. Maybe in Wyoming every now and then or something like that. There is a ****TON of conservatives even in New York City, let alone the rest of the New York State. The current Democrat governor was just elected 53/47. The previous won his two elections 60/40 and 55/45. Similarly there is and always has been droves of liberal and progressives in the South. But it kind of doesn't matter, especially in Senate and Presidential elections. But it also means that even a seemingly small shift in the electorate, say 5% points can turn a solid x state into a purple one and a purple one into a solid y.
Republicans don't need to become THE party of the non-Whites, just a little bit more. Latinos and Asians already vote 40% Republican. Republicans can easily bump it up to 45, maybe 50 with Asians with just cosmetic changes. Blacks who vote only 10-15% Republicans will be a tougher nut to crack.
It's really not. There is enough skilled labor in the US. Immigrants, even skilled ones, are just willing to work for less. Speaking from a very personal experience. From being one of them, from working among other skilled immigrants, from talking to a bunch of HR reps. Because the money is still very nice and an upgrade over what you made in Easter Europe, let alone the third world, so you take it even if you know that you are kind of being underpaid. But it's also still less than what a skilled Yank wants, especially since he is ridden with absurd college debt that he needs to pay off*. Maybe it's different for some STEM jobs, no idea, for stuff like lawyers, accountants, managers, marketing bottom-feeders and other white collar scum, the only solution is to just not let them in.
*Out of control tuition is another thing Republicans need to wake the **** up on and abandon the current pseudo-market position. They are losing young voters in millions in order to gain who? The school administrators who eat all those money are all terminally liberal anyway.
Ultimately, reality is what you make it. Yeah there might be some global connections and consequences and webs etc. So what, everything has an end, nothing is forever. All of Europe was once controlled by an interconnected, intermarrying and entrenched aristocracy. Until it wasn't. Dare to dream, onwards and upwards. Passiveness, resignation and "this is how it's always been" fatalism is sooo Old World, this is America, **** yeah
________________________________________
Btw CNN exit polls here
Some question that defy conventional wisdom or the more or less 50/50 split or confirm what I wrote above or are just fun:
Only 10% of people support illegal abortion in all cases. 60% support legal abortion in all or most cases.
While Whites with college are more or less split (50/47) and Whites without college strongly favor Republicans (68/32), non-Whites favor Democrats 68/32 regardless of college education.
Democrats are most popular among childless women, Republicans among childless men.
36% of all voters hold a favorable view of Nancy Pelosi. Only 27% of all voters hold a favorable view of Kevin McCarthy, however 20% have no opinion of him, as opposed to 4% of voters with no opinion on Nancy.
25% of all voters are enthusiastic or satisfied with they way things are going. 41% are dissatisfied and 33% are angry.
30% of all voters want Biden to run 2024.
71% of all voters think climate change is a serious problem.
26% of all voters think society's values on gender and orientation is changing for the better. 50% changing for worse. 21% see no change.
32% of voters decided on who to vote in the last 30 days or fewer.
The most important issue was inflation (31% of voters, 71% of whom voted Republicans), followed abortion (27% of voters, 76% of whom voted Democrats, i.e. pro choice), followed by crime, guns and immigration (each about 10%). Once again shows that overturning Roe basically cost Republicans their red wave.
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we still don't know who won the House, although it's almost certainly Republicans at this point.
