Okay, I'm back. Sort of.
I'm having a difficult conversation with someone I care about IRL so it's distracting me.
I am not going to be talking in real time, I'm too preoccupied and these posts will take a while to generate. Likely they'll sit in the post reply window half-finished for a while before I continue posting them.
Phonemelter 说:
Well said, Pizza.
Question: Why do you think the wolves, provided they are the ones who drove the Kronic lunch, did not end up going for you instead? Were they already on your wagon? If so, did they not vote Soot because he is their packie? Why kill Kronic when he could be a good scapegoat for tomorrow?
These are some questions I am asking myself, but wonder what you (and others) may think?
It is difficult to say.
Order of operations do matter, even when it comes to lynching a wolf and a villager and you always lynch a wolf and a villager.
At the time of this quoted post, Eli was not a known wolf. Now, in retrospect, there's an answer I can give.
If I am the lynch, and the wolves were on me and they were who I thought they were, they have a difficult time surviving the game.
I become clear, and Eli doesn't look good and neither do the other wolves.
But reverse the order.
Lynch Eli who is always getting lynched, and then I become lynchable without it looking bad.
Same two deaths.
SAME two deaths.
Invert the order, and now village cannot figure it out.
That's why.
Man, I busted a game wide, wide open one game when I pointed out that we were correct about two wolves, but we needed to lynch them in reverse order from the order they wanted.
The reason why was because if we did, I'd look like a total boss, and the one who was bussing would have gotten zero credit for bussing the other wolf, because he'd be dead, and flipped wolf.
Instead I was ignored and the bussing wolf survived and the bussed wolf did not.
I said they were both wolves.
What happened next was the busser wolf continued to live and was not the next lynchee.
I was murdered, and he went on to win the game, exactly as I predicted, because of the
order of operations.
They really, really matter. Even if the same 2 people die.
It STILL matters. Because village can solve the game in one scenario, but they can't see it in the other.
That's why it's tough to lynch the low-hanging inactive wolf and then go on to win the game.
If it were pizza lynch yesterday, it might have screwed the whole wolf team.
With Eli being the lynch, the wolves can win.
That's how important the order of operations are. Village can't see it from the other perspective because they think in a logical pattern sometimes, and that logic is very easy to screw with when you change the order.
That's why I wreck games when I'm a wolf. Because I know these subtle little things that completely baffle villagers, and I survive games or I win games even when everyone thinks my entire wolf team is scum.
You change one little aspect and it all becomes CHAOS...
I am an agent of chaos... etc /Joker
When I'm a wolf.
And I can tell by the level of play here that your wolves are also agents of chaos.
All you do is throw Eli under the bus and even if Pizza was correct about anything, game is difficult to solve.
Pizza incorrect about Magorian, and the game becomes nigh impossible to solve.
There's literally no downside from where I sit. That lynch on Eli was elite, I have to think very carefully which wolf did it.
And if all villagers or all villagers and a wolf did it, not two, game is not solvable by looking at the vote pattern at all. We can't narrow it down in time.
More clues would be needed.
Such a dearth of information. I'm serious, even lynching me yesterday (in that specific order) might have busted the game open even though I'm a villager.
Now the wolves are more difficult to find.
Eli being a scapegoat for tomorrow would have netted them less credit than pushing him to death today.
You don't get credit for delaying the lynch of a wolf, then lynching him.