Personally, I have nothing against scripted wars, especially at the beginning of the campaign as you are plunged straight into the division of these major countries already having reason to war without your involvement.
Your previous comment was simply contradictory because you said it wasn't scripted... with your reasoning literally being the definition of scripted... now however you clarified with the outside part which wasn't said before.
"being fed the same data every time" - you
"There is no evidence of scripted wars" - also you