Jurand 说:
Personally I hate to involve myself in discussions on economy (terms deflation and inflation do scare me), but let me emphasize that I've never said that the move of peasants into the wage economy was particularly beneficial for them in the long run. Still somehow it did happen and I can assure you that people did not forgo their rents and become free laborers just because someone would give them more to eat. In fact, assuming that hyperinflation happened right after the Black Death, peasants would more likely stay on their land and subsist rather than seek their fortunes elsewhere. Now, since a good portion of their population did move, we may as well wonder: where exactly? Some of them went into the cities and these in fact got hit by hyperinflation the most. Some still rented themselves out as agricultural workers (which is somewhat ironic if you think about it). These agricultural workers may have been renumerated in kind, as you said. Still, it remains true that an equally large portion of that group did get renumerated in wages (my point exactly).
Finally, as far as hyperinflation is concerned, I did a quick research on the matter, skimmed over a few articles and all seem to be in agreement about three points:
1. It did happen.
2. Its effects were cushioned by the rising wages.
3. It did not last more than 30 years (in England).
What this adds up to is: even if the necessities indeed did become more expensive, people had means to pay for them. Moreover, immediatelly following the Plague and the demographic slump we have all reasons to believe that agriculture operated well above subsistance levels, which is demonstrated by a relative absence of famines at that time.
- Jurand
We have two disagreements here: firstly, you appear to believe that the move of the peasants into the moneyed economy occurred in the aftermath of the Black Plague. I hold this to have occur ed between fifty and hundred years previously (in Western Europe) at the latest. This conclusion I base both on the appearance of contracts replacing feudal obligations with monetary payments, and on the increased importance of monetary policy--this indicates that rents were indeed being perceived in money.
Secondly, you seem (no offence here) to have difficulty in grasping the effects of hyperinflation. Inflation is not, in itself, good or bad for the economy. It is a statistical consequence of an economy's evolution, measured by the overall rise of prices in monetary units. That's in theory--actually calculating the rate of inflation is extremely difficult. In fact, most statisticians will tel you that you
cannot gauge inflation with perfect accuracy, so all numerical rates you see nowadays are more or less accurate estimates, based on ponderated averages of a sample of products. In an expanding economy (the exception would be if an economy has perfectly even wealth distribution, in that case positive inflation would not be a sign of health), you will have a positive but moderate inflation. When inflation becomes negative (i.e. a situation of deflation, or prices falling across the board, occurs), it is generally a consequence of a collapse in demand leading to a recession--the Great Depression is an example of this. The other extreme is hyperinflation--this is also a bad sign, since it often translates a collapse of supply. There's another cause of hyperinflation, which is purely political (the government is emitting to much money in a bid to avoid bankruptcy) and is often 'ironed out' by economists who calculate prices in terms of PPP (purchasing power parity).
Of course, that was a massively oversimplistic summary of inflation, but it's helpful given what you'll find in modern pop economics, not to mention the 'inflation=bad' paradigm that has unfortunately been popularised. Of course, inflation does not affect all groups equally, and since the first time a government had the idea of paying its debts by issuing coins in which the pure silver was alloyed with a greater amount base metals, thus inadvertently inventing monetary policy, there has been an anti-inflation lobby. What's important is to remember these people are defending their own immediate interests--inflation, as I've previously stated, is not inherently bad or good, nor is it a major factor in the economy--it is a consequence, and IMO it's not worth messing with far more important things in order to implement an inflation-centric policy.
Back to the Black Plague; it killed approximately one-third of the population of affected areas. Previously, there had been bad harvests and famines (a contributing factor to the epidemic). This led to a major shortage of manpower, especially since the lower classes (the labour pool) were far more affected than the upper classes (the employers, who had the means to isolate themselves effectively). It also led to a fall in the demand for basic commodities, which in turn impacted the demand for raw materials, particularly agricultural produce. Moreover, agriculture is somewhat 'special' because it depends not only on capital goods (livestock, ploughs,etc) and labour, but also on an utterly immobile natural resource, land; and in this case, it should be remembered also that rural areas were globally less hit by the Plague than urban centres. The result was skyrocketing wages in the depopulated cities while agricultural prices remained in relative stagnation, and of course, despite their much higher wages workers were not more productive; as a result money rapidly lost value against manufactured goods, causing hyperinflation which was unevenly distributed over different sectors of production. Many of peasants then immigrated to the cities because of the high wages.
Errr...no time now, will complete this post tomorrow.
Edit: post resumed.
Besides the attraction of wages that were seen as very high when compared to agricultural prices, peasants also had to deal with the effects of hyperinflation of the manufactured goods they needed, noteably such implements as iron ploughs which went form being a major investment to simply unaffordable for many peasants, including those that were comparatively well-off. Moreover, lords and rich peasants were unable to compete with urban employers, accelerating the movement towards the cities. This is part of an economy's natural response to the crisis, rebalancing supply and demand, but it sucks for the people who are actually caught in it. In the cities, of course, the new immigrants found that everything was not all rosy--sure, they at least were spared housing problems ("just take that house over there, no-one's claimed it since the enitre family died of the Plague last year"), but while the wages were high, so were prices, so they really weren't much better off. Needless to say , the aristocracy were definately not happy at hyperinflation stripping away their income (or, more accurately, their income's actual worth), and they wieghed in to get governments to step in and regulate wages; the problem is that you can't stop a crime where everyone connives, so royal ordnances published in countries like france were largely ignored. Overall it was a situation with hardly any winners.
EDIT2: I seem to have forgotten what I was trying to sya initially.