Newcomb's paradox - what would you do?

[Seff]

Ah, good. I agree with you.

 

[Archonsod]

Nail this predictor guy, swipe the money from his wallet, grab the money in the other box and kill any mother****er who tries to stop me.

They should get me on Deal or No Deal. I'd be ace.

 

[Dusk Voyager]

It doesn't matter when the Predictor makes the prediction. Your trials to "trick" him/her/it, whims, indecisions and all (not necessarily by themselves, but by their effects on your choice) will be taken into account.

I see this as correct, assuming it's your action and not your intent that the predictor predicts. Thus, I'd choose only the red, even if there is a small chance that I could earn a thousandth more. It all comes down to the nature of this predictor, really, and with what power he or she predicts your actions.

If you see the big picture it's true, yet it could be thought that the Predictor's accuracy depends on the condition you're in, and 'this' is the one that gives him/her/it %90 either way. If you try to base your decision on a (or another) whim or trick, the four possibilities may change. The greatest the expected value, the best your choice.

EDIT: Argh, I can't tell my thing is a lance or a vuvuzela!

 

[Seff]

Yeah.