Úlfheðinn said:
Focusing on Turkey, what do you see as needing to occur for Turkey to become a global power?
This can be a good topic for a new book. If I talk from the real(!) world, I can say that Turkey must do lots of things to become a global power.
First of all, our education system isn't working about five hundred years. And mostly, Islam is the most effective factor for this problem. Because, one of the greatest Sultan of Ottoman Empire, Selim I, after the gained the title of 'Caliph', invited clergy of 'Selefi/Eshari' sect. Before this, Turks were mostly 'Maturidi' which was a reconciled sect with science. This became beginning of Turkish collapse. We're trying to fix this since this times.
We must change this and build a new educational system for our requirements. We're not European, not Middle Easterner, not Asian. We're the people of migration and changing. In my opinion, new education system must build on this basis. I'm sure that technology and other developments will materialize after if we can achieve this.
Second; as you know, Turkish lands are enough for Turkish people for agriculture, clean water and other natural resources. But after this government, policies changed and Turkey became a country which is importing most of his needs. We even imported wheat from Bulgaria and Ukraine. Can you imagine that? Anatolia is feeding its people thousands of years. But we're importing wheat. So, we must rebuild our agriculture system.
Third; I talked on negative sides of us, but, as I read from history, Turks always show a characteristic which is related to conquer and rule. I'm not a Neo-Ottomanist but Arabs... I'm not sure that there is a possibility for peace and justice while they're ruling in Middle East. After the new educational system, technological developments, agriculture revolution, Turks should do something to bring peace and justice as a one of the most experienced nation in Earth for Middle East.
If we can do these three and it is possible to open a way for becoming a global power.
Almalexia said:
Well, certainly. I think, particularly on the last part, that this is exactly what we are trying to convey. Given the current situation, politically, militarily, and economically in Turkey, nonetheless among the other countries you have listed, how can the conclusion "most likely", or even "probably", result in some sort of sweeping and centralized political-military organization stretching across the swath of Eurasia?
Now, if your claim was simpler, say, that the economic center of the world was shifting back to the "East", than yeah, absolutely. You can track economic trends and statistics. But throw politics into it, and everything gets a lot messier, especially given the current situation of relations. Turkey doesn't get along with Iran, China isn't really friends with India, the China-Russian cooperation is tense and based on pragmatism born of the structure of the UN Security Council alone... etc. Now we could speculate on situations that might change that, but that is all you can do: speculate. Given the current state of affairs, one would logically conclude that close alliance between even any of the powers listed: Russia, Turkey, China, India, and Iran, to be "unlikely".
Actually, I've no claim.
I was born in Turkey and visited few European countries. I'm just wondering that 'what if paradigm changes'. Because we growed in a culture that is trying to catch 'West', this is not abnormal for me. We accustommed to live in problems, crisis, coup attemts, explosions. But for US and Europe, if paradigm changes, results may be crushing for people which is living in peace.
Cpt. Nemo said:
Sort of this. Yes, it's war, some tanks are going to be damaged or blown up. No tank is invulnerable, no crew is undefeatable. The United States lost a few Abrams over the years, for example. But no tank was ever allowed to be captured by the enemy. The very few times the tank couldn't be recovered, it was blown sky **** high to deny the enemy of ammunition, technology, weaponry, and trophies.
Turkey abandoned them to the enemy. ISIS isn't likely to reverse engineer a tank anytime soon, but they did get plenty of goodies that were left ready to use inside the tank, and embarrassed Turkey thoroughly. That's not really something a proper military would allow against insurgents.
https://southfront.org/isis-releases-more-photos-with-captured-destroyed-turkish-military-equipment/
In my opinion, you should read this kind of news from both sides. TSK (Turkish Armed Forces) explained this. One broken Leopard-2 abandoned, when Euphrates Shield Forces withdrawed ISIS placed bomb to kill soldiers who will come to capture it. Because of this Turkish F-16s bombed the tank. As I remember there is one APC that is hit by ISIS abandoned too. War is something like that. It's normal.
Gestricius said:
Personally I find Turkey and their FSA allies incompetence on taking Al-Bab to be more mind-blowing.
Civilians, suicide bombers, bomb traps, experienced fighters who is ready to die for heaven, narrow streets, hired snipers, winter... This kind of wars are always unpredictable.