I think you're talking a bit too fast... I'll give an example of a tournament that surprised us all (2018 Football World Cup). We never imagined that Croatia was a gifted country. And yet, they managed to make it to the World Cup final by facing France. At the beginning, personally, I was convinced that it would be a country like England or Brazil and I didn't expect Croatia. And it's the same for Bannerlord, at any moment Poland could lose its title of best team on M&B. So you should never talk too fast, because you can be disappointed with the final result.